Evaluating a news-aware quantitative trader: The effect of momentum and contrarian stock selection strategies

  • Authors:
  • Robert P. Schumaker;Hsinchun Chen

  • Affiliations:
  • Information Systems Department, Iona College, New Rochelle, NY 10801, USA;Artificial Intelligence Lab, Department of Management Information Systems, The University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA

  • Venue:
  • Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

We study the coupling of basic quantitative portfolio selectionstrategies with a financial news article prediction system,AZFinText. By varying the degrees of portfolio formation time, wefound that a hybrid system using both quantitative strategy and afull set of financial news articles performed the best. With a1-week portfolio formation period, we achieved a 20.79% tradingreturn using a Momentum strategy and a 4.54% return using aContrarian strategy over a 5-week holding period. We also foundthat trader overreaction to these events led AZFinText tocapitalize on these short-term surges in price. © 2008 WileyPeriodicals, Inc.