Group formation in large social networks: membership, growth, and evolution
Proceedings of the 12th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
Different Aspects of Social Network Analysis
WI '06 Proceedings of the 2006 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence
Measurement and analysis of online social networks
Proceedings of the 7th ACM SIGCOMM conference on Internet measurement
Proceedings of the 18th international conference on World wide web
Group dynamics in discussing incidental topics over online social networks
IEEE Network: The Magazine of Global Internetworking
A time-varying propagation model of hot topic on BBS sites and Blog networks
Information Sciences: an International Journal
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Topic discussion is a significant phenomenon on the online social network, which would attract the rising attention in the near future. In this paper, we predict the tendency of topic discussion on the online social networks using a dynamic probability model. We analyze the process of topic discussion, and give the formulation of it. Three main factors (individual interest, group behavior, and time lapse) are analyzed and quantized, based on which, we propose a dynamic probability model to predict the user's behavior, i.e. attending the topic discussion or not, and then obtain the number of the attending users. Most of the parameters of the model can be calculated by ML estimate methods, and the rest 3 parameters are set by human experience. Experiment shows that our model could predict the tendency of topic discussion accurately. Also, we simulate different sets of the three experience parameters and study the selection of suitable experience parameters.