Web Customer Modeling for Automated Session Prioritization on High Traffic Sites

Authors:
Nicolas Poggi;Toni Moreno;Josep Lluis Berral;Ricard Gavaldà;Jordi Torres
Affiliations:
Computer Architecture Department, U. Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain;Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain and Department of Management, U. Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain;Computer Architecture Department, U. Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain;Department of Software, U. Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain;Computer Architecture Department, U. Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain and Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Venue:
UM '07 Proceedings of the 11th international conference on User Modeling
Year:
2007

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Abstract

In the Web environment, user identification is becoming a major challenge for admission control systems on high traffic sites. When a web server is overloaded there is a significant loss of throughput when we compare finished sessions and the number of responses per second; longer sessions are usually the ones ending in sales but also the most sensitive to load failures. Session-based admission control systems maintain a high QoS for a limited number of sessions, but does not maximize revenue as it treats all non-logged sessions the same. We present a novel method for learning to assign priorities to sessions according to the revenue that will generate. For this, we use traditional machine learning techniques and Markov-chain models. We are able to train a system to estimate the probability of the user's purchasing intentions according to its early navigation clicks and other static information. The predictions can be used by admission control systems to prioritize sessions or deny them if no resources are available, thus improving sales throughput per unit of time for a given infrastructure. We test our approach on access logs obtained from a high-traffic online travel agency, with promising results.