Consumer Phase Shift Simulation Based on Social Psychology and Complex Networks

  • Authors:
  • Takashi Yoshida;Nobuyuki Tomizawa;Tomohisa Gotoh;Hiroto Iguchi;Kei Sugioka;Ken'ichi Ikeda

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-;-;-;-

  • Venue:
  • SERVICES '08 Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE Congress on Services - Part I
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

We have developed the methods for estimating how a new product or a new service will be accepted incontemporary society, considering the effects of word-of-mouth recommendations. These methods are based on a consumer phase shift modeling framework that consists of a consumer agent model and a social network model. Consumer agents, which are classified into four types and six phases, exchange information with each other on a social network. Model parameters were acquired by surveys regarding several new services. These surveys were designed using the snowball sampling technique. We also developed a network generation procedure, applying the idea of complex networks. The multi-agent simulation results proved the feasibility of this framework.