Monte Carlo evaluation of biological variation: Random generation of correlated non-Gaussian model parameters

  • Authors:
  • Maarten L. A. T. M. Hertog;Nico Scheerlinck;Bart M. Nicolaï

  • Affiliations:
  • BIOSYST-MeBioS, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, W. de Croylaan 42, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium;BIOSYST-MeBioS, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, W. de Croylaan 42, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium;BIOSYST-MeBioS, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, W. de Croylaan 42, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium

  • Venue:
  • Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

When modelling the behaviour of horticultural products, demonstrating large sources of biological variation, we often run into the issue of non-Gaussian distributed model parameters. This work presents an algorithm to reproduce such correlated non-Gaussian model parameters for use with Monte Carlo simulations. The algorithm works around the problem of non-Gaussian distributions by transforming the observed non-Gaussian probability distributions using a proposed SKN-distribution function before applying the covariance decomposition algorithm to generate Gaussian random co-varying parameter sets. The proposed SKN-distribution function is based on the standard Gaussian distribution function and can exhibit different degrees of both skewness and kurtosis. This technique is demonstrated using a case study on modelling the ripening of tomato fruit evaluating the propagation of biological variation with time.