Causal Graphical Models with Latent Variables: Learning and Inference

  • Authors:
  • Stijn Meganck;Philippe Leray;Bernard Manderick

  • Affiliations:
  • CoMo, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium 1050;LITIS EA 4051, INSA Rouen, France;CoMo, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium 1050

  • Venue:
  • ECSQARU '07 Proceedings of the 9th European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

Several paradigms exist for modeling causal graphical models for discrete variables that can handle latent variables without explicitly modeling them quantitatively. Applying them to a problem domain consists of different steps: structure learning, parameter learning and using them for probabilistic or causal inference. We discuss two well-known formalisms, namely semi-Markovian causal models and maximal ancestral graphs and indicate their strengths and limitations. Previously an algorithm has been constructed that by combining elements from both techniques allows to learn a semi-Markovian causal models from a mixture of observational and experimental data. The goal of this paper is to recapitulate the integral learning process from observational and experimental data and to demonstrate how different types of inference can be performed efficiently in the learned models. We will do this by proposing an alternative representation for semi-Markovian causal models.