Local Monotonicity in Probabilistic Networks

  • Authors:
  • Johan Kwisthout;Hans Bodlaender;Gerard Tel

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands 3508 TB;Department of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands 3508 TB;Department of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands 3508 TB

  • Venue:
  • ECSQARU '07 Proceedings of the 9th European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

It is often desirable that a probabilistic network is monotone, e.g., more severe symptoms increase the likeliness of a more serious disease. Unfortunately, determining whether a network is monotone is highly intractable. Often, approximation algorithms are employed that work on a local scale. For these algorithms, the monotonicity of the arcs (rather than the network as a whole) is determined. However, in many situations monotonicity depends on the ordering of the values of the nodes, which is sometimes rather arbitrary. Thus, it is desirable to order the values of these variables such that as many arcs as possible are monotone. We introduce the concept of local monotonicity, discuss the computational complexity of finding an optimal ordering of the values of the nodes in a network, and sketch a branch-and-bound exact algorithm to find such an optimal solution.