Neural network for predicting the performance of credit card accounts
Computational Economics - Special issue on computational finance: papers from the IFAC workshop on computing in economics and finance, held at the Univ. of Amsterdam, June 1994
Data mining: practical machine learning tools and techniques with Java implementations
Data mining: practical machine learning tools and techniques with Java implementations
Statistical Pattern Recognition: A Review
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
Mastering Data Mining: The Art and Science of Customer Relationship Management
Mastering Data Mining: The Art and Science of Customer Relationship Management
Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques
Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques
A new two-stage hybrid approach of credit risk in banking industry
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Evaluating probability of default: Intelligent agents in managing a multi-model system
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
PB-ADVISOR: A private banking multi-investment portfolio advisor
Information Sciences: an International Journal
ACIIDS'12 Proceedings of the 4th Asian conference on Intelligent Information and Database Systems - Volume Part II
Assessing scorecard performance: A literature review and classification
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Smart meter monitoring and data mining techniques for predicting refrigeration system performance
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Hi-index | 12.06 |
This research aimed at the case of customers' default payments in Taiwan and compares the predictive accuracy of probability of default among six data mining methods. From the perspective of risk management, the result of predictive accuracy of the estimated probability of default will be more valuable than the binary result of classification - credible or not credible clients. Because the real probability of default is unknown, this study presented the novel ''Sorting Smoothing Method'' to estimate the real probability of default. With the real probability of default as the response variable (Y), and the predictive probability of default as the independent variable (X), the simple linear regression result (Y=A+BX) shows that the forecasting model produced by artificial neural network has the highest coefficient of determination; its regression intercept (A) is close to zero, and regression coefficient (B) to one. Therefore, among the six data mining techniques, artificial neural network is the only one that can accurately estimate the real probability of default.