Key consumer group for late comers in network effect product markets: a multi-agent modeling approach

  • Authors:
  • Zhou Geng

  • Affiliations:
  • Computer Technology and Science, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China

  • Venue:
  • WSEAS Transactions on Computers
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

The first movers in network effect market enjoy the first-mover advantages. However, through proper strategy, late comers still hold a chance to win the competition. I divide the consumers into 5 categories (active rational, passive rational, active non-rational, passive non-rational and sheep herd) and simulate the market with multi-agent modeling method. Through analyzing the interactions between these consumer groups, I find that the active non-rational group is the most important consumer group for the late comers--late comers should focus on attracting this group first so that they may compete with the first movers. In support of my study, I also provide case studies of China's blog service market and China's online game market.