The Value of Moderate Obsession: Insights from a New Model of Organizational Search

  • Authors:
  • Sidney G. Winter;Gino Cattani;Alex Dorsch

  • Affiliations:
  • Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, 2000 Steinberg Hall -- Dietrich Hall, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104-6370;Stern School of Business, New York University, 40 West 4th Street, Tisch Hall Suite 7-14, New York, New York 10012;Bear Stearns & Co., 383 Madison Avenue, Floor 9S, New York, New York 10179

  • Venue:
  • Organization Science
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

This study presents a new model of search on a rugged landscape, which employs modeling techniques from fractal geometry rather than the now-familiar NK-modeling technique. In our simulations, firms search locally in a two-dimensional fitness landscape, choosing moves in a way that responds both to local payoff considerations and to a more global sense of opportunity represented by a firm-specific preferred direction. The latter concept provides a simple device for introducing cognitive or motivational considerations into the formal account of search behavior, alongside payoff considerations. After describing the objectives and the structure of the model, we report a first experiment that explores how the ruggedness of the landscape affects the interplay of local payoff and cognitive considerations (preferred direction) in search. We show that an intermediate search strategy, combining the guidance of local search with a moderate level of nonlocal obsession, is distinctly advantageous in searching a rugged landscape. We also explore the effects of other considerations, including the objective validity of the preferred direction and the degree of dispersion of firm strategies. We conclude by noting available features of the model that are not exercised in this experiment. Given the inherent flexibility of the model, the range of questions that might potentially be explored is extremely large.