Narrative Scenarios, Mediating Formalisms, and the Agent-Based Simulation of Land Use Change

Authors:
Nicholas M. Gotts;J. Gary Polhill
Affiliations:
Macaulay Institute, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK;Macaulay Institute, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK
Venue:
Epistemological Aspects of Computer Simulation in the Social Sciences
Year:
2009

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Abstract

The kinds of system studied using agent-based simulation are intuitively, and to a considerable extent scientifically, understood through natural language narrative scenarios , and that finding systematic and well-founded ways to relate such scenarios to simulation models, and in particular to their outputs, is important in both scientific and policy-related applications of agent-based simulation. The paper outlines a projected approach to the constellation of problems this raises --- which derive from the gulf between the semantics of natural and programming languages. It centers on the use of mediating formalisms: ontologies and specialised formalisms for qualitative representation and reasoning. Examples are derived primarily from ongoing work on the simulation of land use change.