Determination of the failure moments of a system as equilibrium points

  • Authors:
  • Ilie Mitran

  • Affiliations:
  • The Mathematical Department, University of Petrosani, Petrosani, România

  • Venue:
  • AMATH'09 Proceedings of the 15th american conference on Applied mathematics
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

In the literature of specialty there are known many methods of analyzing the optimum moment to replace the equipments: prediction methods, min-max methods and methods concerning the use of renewal strategies (these are methods of probabilistic type that are also using elements of operational calculations). This work presents a modern viewing synthesis concerning the main problems about the optimal replacement timing, using a mathematical model based on probabilities and differential calculus. Practically, it is based on the graph associated to an operation / disturbance process, part of a system composed of several subsystems. It is built the system of equations with finite differences being associated to the corresponding system of differential equations. Laplace transformations are applied in order to find the solution of the system practically this represents the unavailabilities of the system components. The failure points of the system are easily obtained, being solutions of equations represented by the system reliability and components unavailabilities.