When in Doubt ... Be Indecisive

  • Authors:
  • Linda C. Gaag;Silja Renooij;Wilma Steeneveld;Henk Hogeveen

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands 3508 TB;Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands 3508 TB;Department of Farm Animal Health, Utrecht University,;Department of Farm Animal Health, Utrecht University,

  • Venue:
  • ECSQARU '09 Proceedings of the 10th European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

For a presented case, a Bayesian network classifier in essence computes a posterior probability distribution over its class variable. Based upon this distribution, the classifier's classification function returns a single, determinate class value and thereby hides the uncertainty involved. To provide reliable decision support, however, the classifier should be able to convey indecisiveness if the posterior distribution computed for the case does not clearly favour one class value over another. In this paper we present an approach for this purpose, and introduce new measures to capture the performance and practicability of such classifiers.