Segregating Confident Predictions of Chemicals' Properties for Virtual Screening of Drugs

  • Authors:
  • Axel J. Soto;Ignacio Ponzoni;Gustavo E. Vazquez

  • Affiliations:
  • Laboratorio de Investigación y Desarrollo en Computación Científica (LIDeCC), Departamento de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación (DCIC), Universidad Nacional del Sur, ...;Laboratorio de Investigación y Desarrollo en Computación Científica (LIDeCC), Departamento de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación (DCIC), Universidad Nacional del Sur, ...;Laboratorio de Investigación y Desarrollo en Computación Científica (LIDeCC), Departamento de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación (DCIC), Universidad Nacional del Sur, ...

  • Venue:
  • IWANN '09 Proceedings of the 10th International Work-Conference on Artificial Neural Networks: Part II: Distributed Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Bioinformatics, Soft Computing, and Ambient Assisted Living
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

In this paper we present a methodology for evaluating the confidence in the prediction of a physicochemical or biological property. Identifying unreliable compounds' predictions is crucial for the modern drug discovery process.This task is accomplished by the combination of the method of prediction with a self-organizing map. In this way, the method is able to segregate unconfident predictions as well as confident predictions. We applied the method to four different data sets, and we obtained significant differences in the average predictions of our segregation. This approach constitutes a novel way for evaluating confidence, since it not only looks for extrapolation situations but also it identifies interpolation problems.