A report on FOLIO: an expert assistant for portfolio managers

  • Authors:
  • Paul R. Cohen;Mark D. Lieberman

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Computer Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA;Drexel Burnham Lambert, Palo Alto, CA

  • Venue:
  • IJCAI'83 Proceedings of the Eighth international joint conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 1
  • Year:
  • 1983

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Abstract

FOLIO is an expert system to assist portfolio managers. It interviews a client and, on the basis of expert knowledge, determines the client's investment goals and the portfolio that best meets them. FOLIO is a test bed for a theory of heuristic reasoning about uncertainty (Cohen and Grinberg, 1983), and its task has many parallels to established Al paradigms such as diagnosis in medicine and construction of a student model in ICAI domains. FOLIO uses a goal programming algorithm (Hillier and Lieberman, 1980) as a relaxation method for resolving the client's multiple goals into a portfolio that fits them optimally. This paper discusses the motivations for building FOLIO; its task, design, and operation; and examples of its recommendations.