Asymptotic conditional probability in modal logic: a probabilistic reconstruction of nonmonotonic logic

  • Authors:
  • Riccardo Rosati;Georg Gottlob

  • Affiliations:
  • Dipartimento di Informatica e Sistemistica, Università di Roma "La Sapienza";Institut für Informationssysteme, Technische Universit¨at wien

  • Venue:
  • IJCAI'05 Proceedings of the 19th international joint conference on Artificial intelligence
  • Year:
  • 2005

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Abstract

We analyze the asymptotic conditional validity of modal formulas, i.e., the probability that a formula ψ is valid in the finite Kripke structures in which a given modal formula φ is valid, when the size of these Kripke structures grows to infinity. We characterize the formulas ψ that are almost surely valid (i.e., with probability 1) in case φ is a flat, S5- consistent formula, and show that these formulas ψ are exactly those which follow from φ according to the nonmonotonic modal logic S5G. Our results provide - for the first time - a probabilistic semantics to a well-known nonmonotonic modal logic, establishing a new bridge between nonmonotonic and probabilistic reasoning, and give a computational account of the asymptotic conditional validity problem in Kripke structures.