Conditional probability and fuzzy information

  • Authors:
  • Giulianella Coletti;Romano Scozzafava

  • Affiliations:
  • Dipartimento Matematica e Informatica, Universití di Perugia, Via Vanvitelli 1, 06123 Perugia, Italy;Dipartimento Metodi e Modelli Matematici, Universití di Roma "La Sapienza", via Scarpa 16, 00161 Roma, Italy

  • Venue:
  • Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

The main subject of this paper is the embedding of fuzzy set theory-and related concepts-in a coherent conditional probability scenario. This allows to deal with perception-based information-in the sense of Zadeh-and with a rigorous treatment of the concept of likelihood, dealing also with its role in statistical inference. A coherent conditional probability is looked on as a general non-additive ''uncertainty'' measure m(.)=P(E|.) of the conditioning events. This gives rise to a clear, precise and rigorous mathematical frame, which allows to define fuzzy subsets and to introduce in a very natural way the counterparts of the basic continuous T-norms and the corresponding dual T-conorms, bound to the former by coherence. Also the ensuing connections of this approach to possibility theory and to information measures are recalled.