Pattern-Oriented Modeling of Commons Dilemma Experiments

  • Authors:
  • Marco A. Janssen;Nicholas P. Radtke;Allen Lee

  • Affiliations:
  • School of Human Evolution and Social Change, ArizonaState University;Center for the Study of Institutional Diversity, ArizonaState University, School of Computing and Informatics, Arizona State University;School of Human Evolution and Social Change, ArizonaState University, Center for the Study of Institutional Diversity, ArizonaState University

  • Venue:
  • Adaptive Behavior - Animals, Animats, Software Agents, Robots, Adaptive Systems
  • Year:
  • 2009

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

A major challenge in the development of computational models of collective behavior is the empirical validation. Experimental data from a spatially explicit dynamic commons dilemma experiment is used to empirically ground an agent-based model. Three distinct patterns are identified in the data. Two na脙炉ve models, random walk and greedy agents, do not produce data that match the patterns. A more comprehensive model is presented that explains how participants make movement and harvest decisions. Using pattern-oriented modeling the parameter space is explored to identify the parameter combinations that meet the three identified patterns. Less than 0.1% of the parameter combinations meet all the patterns. These parameter settings were used to successfully predict the patterns of a new set of experiments.