Comparing four bankruptcy prediction models: Logit, quadratic interval logit, neural and fuzzy neural networks

  • Authors:
  • Fang-Mei Tseng;Yi-Chung Hu

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of International Business, Yuan Ze University, 135 Yuan-Tung Road, Chung-Li 32003, Taiwan, ROC;Department of Business Administration, Chung Yuan Christian University, Taiwan, ROC

  • Venue:
  • Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
  • Year:
  • 2010

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Abstract

Bankruptcy prediction is one of the major business classification problems. In this paper, we use four different techniques (1) logit model, (2) quadratic interval logit model, (3) backpropagation multi-layer perceptron (i.e., MLP), and (4) radial basis function network (i.e., RBFN) to predict bankrupt and non-bankrupt firms in England. The average hit ratio of four methods range from 91.15% to 77.05%. The original classification accuracy and the validation test results indicate that RBFN outperforms the other models.