An evolutive interval type-2 TSK fuzzy logic system for volatile time series identification

  • Authors:
  • Juan Carlos Figueroa García

  • Affiliations:
  • Laboratory for Automation, Microelectronics and Computational Intelligence, Universidad Distrital Francisco José de Caldas, Bogotá, Colombia

  • Venue:
  • SMC'09 Proceedings of the 2009 IEEE international conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

This paper presents a study case of the US Dollar - Colombian Peso Exchange Rate by using a First-order Interval Type-2 TSK Fuzzy Logic System. This study case is specially interesting because it presents a volatile behavior which is a complex problem for classical analysis. Their results are checked by statistical tests as Bayesian, Akaike, Hannan-Quin criteria, Goldfeld-Quant, Ljung-Box, ARCH, Runs and Turning Points which provide appropriate criterions to test the solution. Some methodological aspects about a hybrid implementation between Evolutive Optimization and First order Interval Type-2 TSK FLS are presented. Additionally, the selected type-reduction algorithm is the IASCO algorithm proposedby Melgarejo in [1] since it presents better properties than other algorithms.