Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
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The People's Republic of China is one of the world's most popular tourist destinations. This paper reviews the development of the Chinese inbound tourism industry after the cultural revolution and analyses tourist flows from Japan, which is the most important short-haul inbound market for China. Box-Jenkins univariate time series analysis facilitates an understanding of tourist arrival patterns in inbound tourism for China from Japan for the period 1986-2000. Tests for stationarity of tourist arrivals time series are also conducted.