Fundamentals of neural networks: architectures, algorithms, and applications
Fundamentals of neural networks: architectures, algorithms, and applications
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
A new prediction strategy for price spike forecasting of day-ahead electricity markets
Applied Soft Computing
On the use of cross-validation for time series predictor evaluation
Information Sciences: an International Journal
A meta-cognitive sequential learning algorithm for neuro-fuzzy inference system
Applied Soft Computing
Correcting and combining time series forecasters
Neural Networks
Fuzzy artificial neural network p, d, q model for incomplete financial time series forecasting
Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems: Applications in Engineering and Technology
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In this paper, a new forecast strategy is proposed for day-ahead prediction of electricity prices, which are so valuable for both producers and consumers in the new competitive electric power markets. However, electricity price has a nonlinear, volatile and time dependent behavior owning many outliers. Our forecast strategy is composed of a preprocessor and a Hybrid Neuro-Evolutionary System (HNES). Preprocessor selects the input features of the HNES according to MRMR (Maximum Relevance Minimum Redundancy) principal. The HNES is composed of three Neural Networks (NN) and Evolutionary Algorithms (EA) in a cascaded structure with a new data flow among its building blocks. The effectiveness of the whole proposed method is demonstrated by means of real data of the PJM and Spanish electricity markets. Also, the proposed price forecast strategy is compared with some of the most recent techniques in the area.