Recognizing business cycle turning points by means of a neural network
Computational Economics
A neuro-fuzzy method to learn fuzzy classification rules from data
Fuzzy Sets and Systems - Special issue: application of neuro-fuzzy systems
FSKD'05 Proceedings of the Second international conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery - Volume Part II
GA-fuzzy modeling and classification: complexity and performance
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
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This paper proposes a new forecasting model based on neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM) concerning forecasting of turning points in business cycle by the composite index. NEWFM is a new model of neural networks to improve forecasting accuracy by using self adaptive weighted fuzzy membership functions. The locations and weights of the membership functions are adaptively trained, and then the fuzzy membership functions are combined by bounded sum. The implementation of the NEWFM demonstrates an excellent capability in the field of business cycle analysis.