Measuring autonomy by multivariate autoregressive modelling

  • Authors:
  • Anil K. Seth

  • Affiliations:
  • Dept of Informatics, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK

  • Venue:
  • ECAL'07 Proceedings of the 9th European conference on Advances in artificial life
  • Year:
  • 2007

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Abstract

I introduce a quantitative measure of autonomy based on a time series analysis adapted from 'Granger causality'. A system is considered autonomous if prediction of its future evolution is enhanced by considering its own past states, as compared to predictions based on past states of a set of external variables. The proposed measure, G-autonomy, amplifies the notion of autonomy as 'self-determination'. I illustrate G-autonomy by application to example time series data and to an agent-based model of predator-prey behaviour. Analysis of the predator-prey model shows that evolutionary adaptation can enhance G-autonomy.