The possibility of an epidemic meme analogy for web community population analysis

  • Authors:
  • Masao Kubo;Keitaro Naruse;Hiroshi Sato;Takashi Matubara

  • Affiliations:
  • National Defense Academy of Japan, Dep. of Computer Science, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan;Univ. of Aizu, Dep. of Computer Software, Fukushima-ken, Japan;National Defense Academy of Japan, Dep. of Computer Science, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan;National Defense Academy of Japan, Dep. of Computer Science, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan

  • Venue:
  • IDEAL'07 Proceedings of the 8th international conference on Intelligent data engineering and automated learning
  • Year:
  • 2007

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to discuss the possibility of understanding human social interaction in web communities by analogy with a disease propagation model from epidemiology. When an article is submitted by an individual to a social web service, it is potentially influenced by other participants. The submission sometimes starts a long and argumentative chain of articles, but often does not. This complex behavior makes management of server resources difficult and a more theoretical methodology is required. This paper tries to express these complex human dynamics by analogy with infection by a virus. In this first report, by fitting an epidemiological model to Bulletin Board System (BBS) logs in terms of a numerical triple, we show that the analogy is reasonable and beneficial because the analogy can estimate the community size despite the submitter's information alone being observable.