GARCH processes with non-parametric innovations for market risk estimation

  • Authors:
  • José Miguel Hernández-Lobato;Daniel Hernández-Lobato;Alberto Suárez

  • Affiliations:
  • Escuela Politécnica Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Escuela Politécnica Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Escuela Politécnica Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain

  • Venue:
  • ICANN'07 Proceedings of the 17th international conference on Artificial neural networks
  • Year:
  • 2007

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

A procedure to estimate the parameters of GARCH processes with non-parametric innovations is proposed. We also design an improved technique to estimate the density of heavy-tailed distributions with real support from empirical data. The performance of GARCH processes with non-parametric innovations is evaluated in a series of experiments on the daily log-returns of IBM stocks. These experiments demonstrate the capacity of the improved estimator to yield a precise quantification of market risk.