Horizontal generalization properties of fuzzy rule-based trading models

  • Authors:
  • Célia Da Costa Pereira;Andrea G. B. Tettamanzi

  • Affiliations:
  • Università degli Studi di Milano, Dipartimento di Tecnologie dell'Informazione, Crema, Italy;Università degli Studi di Milano, Dipartimento di Tecnologie dell'Informazione, Crema, Italy

  • Venue:
  • Evo'08 Proceedings of the 2008 conference on Applications of evolutionary computing
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

We investigate the generalization properties of a data-mining approach to single-position day trading which uses an evolutionary algorithm to construct fuzzy predictive models of financial instruments. The models, expressed as fuzzy rule bases, take a number of popular technical indicators on day t as inputs and produce a trading signal for day t + 1 based on a dataset of past observations of which actions would have been most profitable. The approach has been applied to trading several financial instruments (large-cap stocks and indices), in order to study the horizontal, i.e., cross-market, generalization capabilities of the models.