Computing posterior probabilities of structural features in Bayesian networks

  • Authors:
  • Jin Tian;Ru He

  • Affiliations:
  • Iowa State University, Ames, IA;Iowa State University, Ames, IA

  • Venue:
  • UAI '09 Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

We study the problem of learning Bayesian network structures from data. Koivisto and Sood (2004) and Koivisto (2006) presented algorithms that can compute the exact marginal posterior probability of a subnetwork, e.g., a single edge, in O(n2n) time and the posterior probabilities for all n(n-1) potential edges in O(n2n) total time, assuming that the number of parents per node or the indegree is bounded by a constant. One main drawback of their algorithms is the requirement of a special structure prior that is non uniform and does not respect Markov equivalence. In this paper, we develop an algorithm that can compute the exact posterior probability of a subnetwork in O(3n) time and the posterior probabilities for all n(n - 1) potential edges in O(n3n) total time. Our algorithm also assumes a bounded indegree but allows general structure priors. We demonstrate the applicability of the algorithm on several data sets with up to 20 variables.