A proposal based on time series to predict traffic values inside a Wi-Fi data network

  • Authors:
  • Cesar Augusto Hernández Suarez;Octavio Salcedo Parra;Francisco J. Puente

  • Affiliations:
  • Distrital University, Bogotá D.C., Colombia;Distrital University, Bogotá D.C., Colombia;Intelligent Internet Distrital University, Bogotá D.C., Colombia

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Advances in Mobile Computing and Multimedia
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

This work aimed to show that time series are an excellent tool for data traffic modelling within Wi-Fi networks. Box-Jenkins methodology, which is herein described, was used to achieve this objective. Wi-Fi traffic modelling through correlated models, like time series, allow to adjust a great part of the data behavior dynamics in a single equation and, based on it, to estimate traffic future values. All this is advantageous when it comes to covering planning and resource reservation as well as performing a more efficient and timely control at different levels of the Wi-Fi data network functional hierarchy. An 18-order ARIMA traffic model was obtained as a research outcome, which predicted the traffic with relatively small mean square error values for a 10-day term.