Prediction of Urban Short-Term Water Consumption in Zhengzhou City

  • Authors:
  • Jianhua Liu;Rui Zhang;Lailing Wang

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • ICICTA '10 Proceedings of the 2010 International Conference on Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation - Volume 02
  • Year:
  • 2010

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Abstract

For supplying optimal scheduling of Zhengzhou city with short-term water consumption data, this paper builds three types of forecasting model according to moving arithmetic mean method, regression analysis method and BP neural network. As a result, forecasting result is obtained by water supply data and meteorological data. The study shows that three different methods all can meet the need of urban water supply project in the prediction of hourly water consumption. Regression analysis and BP neural network can obtain better forecasting result and can gracefully satisfy the request of urban water supply scheduling. If water consumption measured in 15-minute unit, the forecasting result of BP neural network is better, this can meet the urban water supply request better.