What does a random contingency table look like?

  • Authors:
  • Alexander Barvinok

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of mathematics, university of michigan, ann arbor, mi 48109-1043, usa (e-mail: barvinok@umich.edu)

  • Venue:
  • Combinatorics, Probability and Computing
  • Year:
  • 2010

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Abstract

Let R = (r1,. . ., rm) and C = (c1,. . ., cn) be positive integer vectors such that r1 + ⋯ + rm = c1 + ⋯ + cn. We consider the set Σ(R, C) of non-negative m × n integer matrices (contingency tables) with row sums R and column sums C as a finite probability space with the uniform measure. We prove that a random table D ∈ Σ(R, C) is close with high probability to a particular matrix (‘typical table’) Z defined as follows. We let g(x) = (x + 1)ln(x + 1) − x ln x for x ≥ 0 and let g(X) = ∑i,jg(xij) for a non-negative matrix X = (xij). Then g(X) is strictly concave and attains its maximum on the polytope of non-negative m × n matrices X with row sums R and column sums C at a unique point, which we call the typical table Z.