Heuristic reasoning about uncertainty: an artificial intelligence approach
Heuristic reasoning about uncertainty: an artificial intelligence approach
Fusion, propagation, and structuring in belief networks
Artificial Intelligence
Operations Research
XPLAIN: a system for creating and explaining expert consulting programs
Artificial Intelligence
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What's in an influence link? To answer this foundational question, I propose a semantics for qualitative influences: a positively influences b if and only if the posterior distribution for b given a increases with a in the sense of first-order stochastic dominance. By requiring that this condition hold in all contexts, we gain the ability to perform inference across chains of qualitative influences. Under sets of basic desiderata, the proposed definition is necessary as well as sufficient for this desirable computational property.