Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Detecting abrupt changes in a piecewise locally stationary time series
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Change detection in autoregressive time series
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
The spurious regression of AR(p) infinite-variance sequence in the presence of structural breaks
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
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In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for variance changes in the linear autoregressive processes including AR(p) processes when there are autoregressive parameter shifts. In performing a test, we employ the conventional residual CUSUM of squares test (RCUSQ) statistic. The RCUSQ test is based on the subsampling method introduced by Jach and Kokoszka (2004) [16] to eliminate the influence caused by autoregressive parameter shifts. It is shown that under regularity conditions, the test statistic behaves asymptotically the function of a standard Brownian bridge. We establish the asymptotic validity of this method and assess its performance both theoretically and numerically.