Stochastic finite elements: a spectral approach
Stochastic finite elements: a spectral approach
The Wiener--Askey Polynomial Chaos for Stochastic Differential Equations
SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing
High-Order Collocation Methods for Differential Equations with Random Inputs
SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing
Numerical Methods for Stochastic Computations: A Spectral Method Approach
Numerical Methods for Stochastic Computations: A Spectral Method Approach
An efficient surrogate-based method for computing rare failure probability
Journal of Computational Physics
Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization
| Hi-index | 31.45 |
Evaluation of failure probability of a given system requires sampling of the system response and can be computationally expensive. Therefore it is desirable to construct an accurate surrogate model for the system response and subsequently to sample the surrogate model. In this paper we discuss the properties of this approach. We demonstrate that the straightforward sampling of a surrogate model can lead to erroneous results, no matter how accurate the surrogate model is. We then propose a hybrid approach by sampling both the surrogate model in a ''large'' portion of the probability space and the original system in a ''small'' portion. The resulting algorithm is significantly more efficient than the traditional sampling method, and is more accurate and robust than the straightforward surrogate model approach. Rigorous convergence proof is established for the hybrid approach, and practical implementation is discussed. Numerical examples are provided to verify the theoretical findings and demonstrate the efficiency gain of the approach.