Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Theory refinement on Bayesian networks
Proceedings of the seventh conference (1991) on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Machine Learning
Learning Bayesian Networks
Bayesian network learning algorithms using structural restrictions
International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
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The introduction of expert knowledge when learning Bayesian Networks from data is known to be an excellent approach to boost the performance of automatic learning methods, specially when the data is scarce. Previous approaches for this problem based on Bayesian statistics introduce the expert knowledge modifying the prior probability distributions. In this study, we propose a new methodology based on Monte Carlo simulation which starts with non-informative priors and requires knowledge from the expert a posteriori, when the simulation ends. We also explore a new Importance Sampling method for Monte Carlo simulation and the definition of new non-informative priors for the structure of the network. All these approaches are experimentally validated with five standard Bayesian networks.