Dynamic structures in modeling and simulation: a reflective approach
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS)
Theory of Modeling and Simulation
Theory of Modeling and Simulation
Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
Mic-core: a tool for microsimulation
Winter Simulation Conference
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Microsimulation is increasingly applied in demography to project the development of populations. A stochastic model is being introduced that describes individual life courses on a continuous time base. Life courses are determined by sequences of demographic events. We show how this demographic multi-state projection model can be specified as an atomic model in DEVS. Thereby, strengths but also limitations of this approach are revealed. The limitations are addressed by exploiting a DEVS variant that supports variable structures, i.e., DYNPDEVS, and by modeling individuals as atomic models and the population as a network model. An example projection of a synthetical population based on the population of Italy shows the plausibility and the feasibility of the developed model.