An Improved Cluster Labeling Method for Support Vector Clustering
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
Dynamic Characterization of Cluster Structures for Robust and Inductive Support Vector Clustering
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
Domain described support vector classifier for multi-classification problems
Pattern Recognition
Clustering Based on Gaussian Processes
Neural Computation
Prediction of pricing and hedging errors for equity linked warrants with Gaussian process models
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
A novel learning network for option pricing with confidence interval information
ISNN'06 Proceedings of the Third international conference on Advances in Neural Networks - Volume Part III
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks
Equilibrium-Based Support Vector Machine for Semisupervised Classification
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks
Multi-basin particle swarm intelligence method for optimal calibration of parametric Lévy models
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Transductive Bayesian regression via manifold learning of prior data structure
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Forecasting nonnegative option price distributions using Bayesian kernel methods
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Sequential manifold learning for efficient churn prediction
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Hi-index | 12.06 |
In this paper, we propose a method that predicts a distribution of the implied volatility functions and that provides confidence intervals for the option prices from it. The proposed method, based on a Bayesian approach, employs a Bayesian kernel machine, so-called Gaussian process regression. To verify the performance of the proposed method, we conducted simulations on some model-generated option prices data and real option market data. The simulation results show that the proposed method performs well with practically meaningful option ranges as well as overcomes the problem of containing negative prices in their predicted confidence intervals by the previous works.