Theory and Practice of Uncertain Programming
Theory and Practice of Uncertain Programming
Renewal process with fuzzy interarrival times and rewards
International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems
Expected value of fuzzy variable and fuzzy expected value models
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
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This paper develops a fuzzy model that considers the uncertain attributes of change orders in a research and development (R&D) project. It is assumed that the arrival times of change orders follow a fuzzy renewal process. The contingency based on the confidence level offered by the decision-maker is estimated by fuzzy simulation. Furthermore, the effect of schedule delays which increase further the project cost and schedule is considered explicitly. Finally, three numerical examples are presented to illustrate the application of the proposed model.