Analysis of the influence of global threats on the sustainable development of countries and regions of the world using bayesian belief networks

  • Authors:

  • M. Z. Zgurovsky;A. A. Boldak;T. N. Pomerantseva

  • Affiliations:

  • National Technical University of Ukraine "Kiev Polytechnic Institute,", Kiev, Ukraine;National Technical University of Ukraine "Kiev Polytechnic Institute,", Kiev, Ukraine;System Analysis and Decisions Inc., Brisbane, USA

  • Venue:
  • Cybernetics and Systems Analysis
  • Year:
  • 2010

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Abstract

Bayesian Belief Networks are used to establish qualitative causal relations between global threats and indicators of sustainable development. The method of belief network synthesis and a method of generalization of final results are proposed. This made it possible to obtain a holistic understanding of effects of global threats on the sustainable development of countries and regions of the world.