Hotspot district trajectory prediction

  • Authors:
  • Hongjun Li;Changjie Tang;Shaojie Qiao;Yue Wang;Ning Yang;Chuan Li

  • Affiliations:
  • Institute of Database and Knowledge Engineering, School of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China and School of Computer Science, South West University of science and technology, Mia ...;Institute of Database and Knowledge Engineering, School of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China;School of Information Science and Technology, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China;Institute of Database and Knowledge Engineering, School of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China;Institute of Database and Knowledge Engineering, School of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China;Institute of Database and Knowledge Engineering, School of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China

  • Venue:
  • WAIM'10 Proceedings of the 2010 international conference on Web-age information management
  • Year:
  • 2010

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Abstract

Trajectory prediction (TP) of moving objects has grown rapidly to be a new exciting paradigm. However, existing prediction algorithms mainly employ kinematical models to approximate real world routes and always ignore spatial and temporal distance. In order to overcome the drawbacks of existing TP approaches, this study proposes a new trajectory prediction algorithm, called HDTP (Hotspot Distinct Trajectory Prediction). It works as: (1) mining the hotspot districts from trajectory data sets; (2) extracting the trajectory patterns from trajectory data; and (3) predicting the location of moving objects by using the common movement patterns. By comparing this proposed approach to E3TP, the experiments show HDTP is an efficient and effective algorithm for trajectory prediction, and its prediction accuracy is about 14.7% higher than E3TP.