Using software agents to simulate how investors' greed and fear emotions explain the behavior of a financial market

  • Authors:
  • Filippo Neri

  • Affiliations:
  • University of Naples, Department of Computer Science, Napoli, Italy

  • Venue:
  • ICOSSSE '09 Proceedings of the 8th WSEAS international conference on System science and simulation in engineering
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

Understanding and reproducing the behavior of stock markets is both an interesting and difficult topic. In fact stock markets are an example of complex systems where the emergent behavior, coming from the aggregate effect of the action performed by independently acting investors, has a direct and important impact on our dayly lives. In our study, we want to explore if a computational simulation technique based on software agents could be used to model a stock market. Also we would like to investigate if a simple modelisation of the complexity underlying stock market operations could result in a good-enough estimate of the future market behaviour. A case study where we use our software agent based simulation to track the S&P500 index is described and discussed.