Equilibrium Play in Large Group Market Entry Games
Management Science
Heterogeneous Beliefs, Risk and Learning in a Simple Asset Pricing Model
Computational Economics - Special issue: Evolutionary processes in economics
Reinforcement Learning Rules in a Repeated Game
Computational Economics
A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs
Computational Economics
| Hi-index | 0.00 |
We introduce a framework to analyze the interaction of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents repeatedly playing a participation game with negative feedback. We assume that agents use different behavioral rules prescribing how to play the game conditionally on the outcome of previous rounds. We update the fraction of the population using each rule by means of a general class of evolutionary dynamics based on imitation, which contains both replicator and logit dynamics. Our model is analyzed by a combination of formal analysis and numerical simulations and is able to replicate results from the experimental and computational literature on these types of games. In particular, irrespective of the specific evolutionary dynamics and of the exact behavioral rules used, the dynamics of the aggregate participation rate is consistent with the symmetric mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, whereas individual behavior clearly departs from it. Moreover, as the number of players or speed of adjustment increase the evolutionary dynamics typically becomes unstable and leads to endogenous fluctuations around the steady state. These fluctuations are robust with respect to behavioral rules that try to exploit them.