Grey prediction on indoor comfort temperature for HVAC systems
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Grey system theory-based models in time series prediction
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Multiresolution forecasting for futures trading using wavelet decompositions
IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks
Hi-index | 12.05 |
In this paper, a prediction model is proposed for wind farm power forecasting by combining the wavelet transform, chaotic time series and GM(1,1) method. The wavelet transform is used to decompose wind farm power into several detail parts associated with high frequencies and an approximate part associated with low frequencies. The characteristic of each high frequencies signal is identified, if it is chaotic time series then use weighted one-rank local-region method to predict it. If not, use GM(1,1) model to predict it. And the GM(1,1) model is also used to predict the approximate part of the low frequencies. In the end, the final forecasted result for wind farm power is obtained by summing the predicted results of all extracted high frequencies and the approximate part. According to the predicted results, the proposed method can improve the prediction accuracy of the wind farm power.