CAST: Using neural networks to improve trading systems based on technical analysis by means of the RSI financial indicator

  • Authors:
  • Alejandro Rodríguez-González;Ángel García-Crespo;Ricardo Colomo-Palacios;Fernando Guldrís Iglesias;Juan Miguel Gómez-Berbís

  • Affiliations:
  • Computer Science Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Av. Universidad 30, Leganés, 28911 Madrid, Spain;Computer Science Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Av. Universidad 30, Leganés, 28911 Madrid, Spain;Computer Science Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Av. Universidad 30, Leganés, 28911 Madrid, Spain;Computer Science Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Av. Universidad 30, Leganés, 28911 Madrid, Spain;Computer Science Department, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Av. Universidad 30, Leganés, 28911 Madrid, Spain

  • Venue:
  • Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

Stock price predictions have been a field of study from several points of view including, among others, artificial intelligence and expert systems. For short-term predictions, the technical indicator relative strength indicator (RSI) has been published in many papers and used worldwide. CAST is presented in this paper. CAST can be seen as a set of solutions for calculating the RSI using artificial intelligence techniques. The improvement is based on the use of feedforward neural networks to calculate the RSI in a more accurate way, which we call the iRSI. This new tool will be used in two scenarios. In the first, it will predict a market - in our case, the Spanish IBEX 35 stock market. In the second, it will predict single-company values pertaining to the IBEX 35. The results are very encouraging and reveal that the CAST can predict the given market as a whole along with individual stock pertaining to the IBEX 35 index.