Formalizing probabilistic safety claims

  • Authors:
  • Heber Herencia-Zapana;George Hagen;Anthony Narkawicz

  • Affiliations:
  • National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA;NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA;NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA

  • Venue:
  • NFM'11 Proceedings of the Third international conference on NASA Formal methods
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

A safety claim for a system is a statement that the system, which is subject to hazardous conditions, satisfies a given set of properties. Following work by John Rushby and Bev Littlewood, this paper presents a mathematical framework that can be used to state and formally prove probabilistic safety claims. It also enables hazardous conditions, their uncertainties, and their interactions to be integrated into the safety claim. This framework provides a formal description of the probabilistic composition of an arbitrary number of hazardous conditions and their effects on system behavior. An example is given of a probabilistic safety claim for a conflict detection algorithm for aircraft in a 2D airspace. The motivation for developing this mathematical framework is that it can be used in an automated theorem prover to formally verify safety claims.