Identifying core technologies based on technological cross-impacts: An association rule mining (ARM) and analytic network process (ANP) approach

  • Authors:
  • Chulhyun Kim;Hakyeon Lee;Hyeonju Seol;Changyong Lee

  • Affiliations:
  • Induk University, Choansangil 14, Nowon-Gu, Seoul 139-749, South Korea;Seoul National University of Science and Technology, 172 Gongreuing 2-dong, Nowon-gu, Seoul 139-746, South Korea;Korea Air Force Academy, 335-1, Ssangsu-ri, Namil-myeon, Cheongwon-gun, Chungbuk 363-849, South Korea;Seoul National University, San 56-1, Shillim-Dong, Kwanak-Gu, Seoul 151-742, South Korea

  • Venue:
  • Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
  • Year:
  • 2011

Quantified Score

Hi-index 12.06

Visualization

Abstract

This study proposes a new approach to identifying core technologies from a perspective of technological cross-impacts based on patent co-classification information with consideration of the overall interrelationships among technologies. The proposed approach is comprised of two methods: association rule mining (ARM) and the analytic network process (ANP). Firstly association rule mining (ARM) is employed to calculate the technological cross-impact indexes. Since the confidence measure in ARM is defined as a conditional probability between two technologies, it is adopted as an index for evaluating technological cross-impacts. The technological cross-impact matrix is then constructed with all calculated cross-impact indexes. Secondly, the ANP, which is a generalization of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), is conducted to produce priorities of technologies with consideration of their direct and indirect impacts. The proposed approach can be utilized for technology monitoring for both technology planning of firms and innovation policy making of governments. A case of telecommunication technology is presented to illustrate the proposed approach.