Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control
Simulation model of heat distribution and consumption in municipal heating network
ICS'10 Proceedings of the 14th WSEAS international conference on Systems: part of the 14th WSEAS CSCC multiconference - Volume II
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This paper describes model preparation and subsequent experiments focused on heat supplies proposal which is based on seeking days with similar outdoor temperature behavior. There is model of distribution system for heat consumption prepared but the main questions still remain. When, how much and in what heat condition to deliver into the urban agglomeration? The first and simplest answer could be the similar conditions as we used yesterday or better, day alike the one we want to control now. The main task is to maintain all needs associated with heat consumption. From the information we got from previous (similar) day, the new control could starts. The idea is to make the model more precise and offer possibility to learn and improve control which worked, but perhaps would function better.