Computational intelligence techniques for predicting earthquakes

Authors:
F. Martínez-Álvarez;A. Troncoso;A. Morales-Esteban;J. C. Riquelme
Affiliations:
Department of Computer Science, Pablo de Olavide University of Seville, Spain;Department of Computer Science, Pablo de Olavide University of Seville, Spain;Department of Continuum Mechanics, University of Seville, Spain;Department of Computer Science, University of Seville, Spain
Venue:
HAIS'11 Proceedings of the 6th international conference on Hybrid artificial intelligent systems - Volume Part II
Year:
2011

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Abstract

Nowadays, much effort is being devoted to develop techniques that forecast natural disasters in order to take precautionary measures. In this paper, the extraction of quantitative association rules and regression techniques are used to discover patterns which model the behavior of seismic temporal data to help in earthquakes prediction. Thus, a simple method based on the k-smallest and k-greatest values is introduced for mining rules that attempt at explaining the conditions under which an earthquake may happen. On the other hand patterns are discovered by using a tree-based piecewise linear model. Results from seismic temporal data provided by the Spanish's Geographical Institute are presented and discussed, showing a remarkable performance and the significance of the obtained results.