Multistage covariance approach to measure the randomness in financial time series analysis

  • Authors:
  • Ryszard Szupiluk;Piotr Wojewnik;Tomasz Ząbkowski

  • Affiliations:
  • Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa Ltd, Warsaw, Poland and Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland;Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa Ltd, Warsaw, Poland and Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland;Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa Ltd, Warsaw, Poland and Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

  • Venue:
  • KES-AMSTA'11 Proceedings of the 5th KES international conference on Agent and multi-agent systems: technologies and applications
  • Year:
  • 2011

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

The paper presents a new method for randomness assessment in data with temporal structure. In this approach we perform multistage covariance analysis on several parts of the signal to synthesize information about variability and internal dependencies included in its structure. This allows us to identify deterministic cycles or to detect the level of randomness in signals what is an important issue for the design of transactional, prediction and filtration systems. To confirm validity of the proposed method we tested it on simulated and real financial time series.