A two-stage bid-price control for make-to-order revenue management

  • Authors:
  • Thomas Volling;Derya Eren Akyol;Kai Wittek;Thomas S. Spengler

  • Affiliations:
  • Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Automotive Management and Industrial Production, Katharinenstraíe 3, 38106 Braunschweig, Germany;Dokuz Eylul University, Department of Industrial Engineering, 35160 Buca-Izmir, Turkey;Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Automotive Management and Industrial Production, Katharinenstraíe 3, 38106 Braunschweig, Germany;Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Automotive Management and Industrial Production, Katharinenstraíe 3, 38106 Braunschweig, Germany

  • Venue:
  • Computers and Operations Research
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

Capacity control implementations in make-to-order (MTO) revenue management typically are based on bid-prices, which are used to approximate the opportunity cost of accepting a customer request. However, in the face of stochastic demand, this approximation becomes less accurate and the performance of bid-prices may deteriorate. To address this problem, we examine the informational dynamics inherent in MTO capacity control problems and propose a two-stage capacity control approach based on bid-price updates. Updating is realized with neural networks, which are applied to adjust the selection criteria during the booking period with respect to online demand information. Not only is the resulting contribution margin positively influenced by the update, but also the downside risk of performing worse than a naive first-come-first-served policy. Results from computational experiments show that the proposed approach dominates traditional revenue management methods like randomized linear programming with and without resolving in expected contribution margin as well as in risk.